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Liaison federal poll — March 28, 2026

Liberal +12n = 1,000IVR

National vote intention

Liberal
45%
Conservative
33%
NDP
9%
Bloc Québécois
6%
Green
2%

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (28%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Method: IVR. Sample: 1,000. Field period ends March 28, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

Source: Liaison (original release link not on file — figures as recorded at ingestion).

How this feeds the projection

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.

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