Liaison federal poll — April 25, 2026

Liberal +11n = 1,000IVR

National vote intention

Liberal

45%

Conservative

34%

NDP

Bloc Québécois

Green

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (26%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Method: IVR. Sample: 1,000. Field period ends April 25, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

Source: Liaison (original release link not on file — figures as recorded at ingestion).

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.