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Nanos federal poll — June 12, 2026

Liberal +12.0n = 1,021Phone + Online

National vote intention

Liberal
42.7%
Conservative
30.7%
NDP
11.5%
Bloc Québécois
7%
Green
5.9%

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (29%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Method: Phone + Online. Sample: 1,021. Field period ends June 12, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

Source: Nanos — original release

How this feeds the projection

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.

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