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Nanos federal poll — July 10, 2026

Liberal +12n = 1,018Phone + Online

National vote intention

Liberal
43%
Conservative
31%
NDP
15.1%
Bloc Québécois
6%
Green
3.7%

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (27%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Method: Phone + Online. Sample: 1,018. Field period ends July 10, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

Source: Nanos — original release

How this feeds the projection

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.

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