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Nanos federal poll — August 21, 2026

Liberal +14.1n = 1,022Phone + Online

National vote intention

Liberal
44.1%
Conservative
30%
NDP
12.9%
Bloc Québécois
7%
Green
4%

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (29%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Rolling tracker: this wave overlaps an earlier wave already in the RidingWatch average, so only its fresh portion (25% of the sample) adds new weight.

Method: Phone + Online. Sample: 1,022. Field period ends August 21, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

Source: Nanos — original release

How this feeds the projection

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.

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