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Abacus federal poll — August 26, 2026

Liberal +10n = 2,022Online

National vote intention

Liberal
45%
Conservative
35%
NDP
9%
Bloc Québécois
8%
Green
2%

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (34%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Method: Online. Sample: 2,022. Field period ends August 26, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

Source: Abacus — original release

How this feeds the projection

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.

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