Nanos federal poll — September 11, 2026

Liberal +17.4n = 1,014Phone + Online

National vote intention

Liberal

48.3%

Conservative

30.9%

NDP

10.9%

Bloc Québécois

Green

3.2%

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (21%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Rolling tracker: this wave overlaps an earlier wave already in the RidingWatch average, so only its fresh portion (25% of the sample) adds new weight.

Method: Phone + Online. Sample: 1,014. Field period ends September 11, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

Source: Nanos — original release

How this feeds the projection

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.