EKOS federal poll — October 2, 2026

Liberal +20.8n = 2,020Online

National vote intention

Liberal

47.2%

Conservative

26.4%

NDP

15.3%

Bloc Québécois

Green

3.2%

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (21%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Method: Online. Sample: 2,020. Field period ends October 2, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.