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Pallas federal poll — May 24, 2026

Liberal +13n = 1,295IVR

National vote intention

Liberal
45%
Conservative
32%
NDP
11%
Bloc Québécois
7%
Green
2%

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (30%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Method: IVR. Sample: 1,295. Field period ends May 24, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

Source: Pallas — original release

How this feeds the projection

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.

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