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Nanos federal poll — May 29, 2026

Liberal +7.5n = 1,028Phone + Online

National vote intention

Liberal
40.3%
Conservative
32.8%
NDP
13.2%
Bloc Québécois
7%
Green
5.1%

Bloc Québécois support is tracked as a Quebec share (29%); the bar above shows the approximate national equivalent.

Method: Phone + Online. Sample: 1,028. Field period ends May 29, 2026 (pollster-published; see source for full field dates).

Source: Nanos — original release

How this feeds the projection

RidingWatch blends every recent poll into a time-decayed, sample-weighted national average, which drives the seat model. See the full poll archive, the live projection dashboard, and the published timeline dataset.

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