Ontario Federal Ridings

Overview

Ontario has 122 federal ridings. Current projection: 99 projected for Liberal, 20 projected for Conservative, 2 projected for NDP, 1 projected for Green.

All Ridings in Ontario

Riding	Rating	Projected Winner	Margin
Ajax	Safe Liberal	Liberal	33pts
Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk	Lean Liberal	Liberal	3pts
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill	Lean Liberal	Liberal	3pts
Barrie South—Innisfil	Likely Conservative	Conservative	7.1pts
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte	Lean Liberal	Liberal	3pts
Bay of Quinte	Safe Liberal	Liberal	16pts
Bowmanville—Oshawa North	Likely Liberal	Liberal	6pts
Beaches—East York	Safe Liberal	Liberal	33pts
Brampton Centre	Safe Liberal	Liberal	18.2pts
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park	Safe Liberal	Liberal	23pts
Brampton East	Safe Liberal	Liberal	24.2pts
Brampton North—Caledon	Safe Liberal	Liberal	20.2pts
Brampton South	Safe Liberal	Liberal	19pts
Brampton West	Safe Liberal	Liberal	17pts
Brantford—Brant South	Tossup	Liberal	1pts
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	Lean Conservative	Conservative	3pts
Burlington	Safe Liberal	Liberal	27pts
Cambridge	Safe Liberal	Liberal	11.1pts
Chatham-Kent—Leamington	Likely Conservative	Conservative	7pts
Davenport	Safe Liberal	Liberal	31.7pts
Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East	Safe Liberal	Liberal	36pts
Don Valley North	Safe Liberal	Liberal	27pts
Don Valley West	Safe Liberal	Liberal	39pts
Dufferin—Caledon	Safe Conservative	Conservative	11.1pts
York—Durham	Lean Liberal	Liberal	2pts
Eglinton—Lawrence	Safe Liberal	Liberal	17pts
Elgin—St. Thomas—London South	Tossup	Conservative	1pts
Essex	Likely Conservative	Conservative	9.9pts
Etobicoke Centre	Safe Liberal	Liberal	24pts
Etobicoke—Lakeshore	Safe Liberal	Liberal	30pts
Etobicoke North	Safe Liberal	Liberal	30.7pts
Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North	Likely Liberal	Liberal	8pts
Prescott—Russell—Cumberland	Safe Liberal	Liberal	28pts
Guelph	Safe Liberal	Liberal	36pts
Haldimand—Norfolk	Likely Conservative	Conservative	9pts
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes	Likely Conservative	Conservative	9pts
Hamilton Centre	Lean Liberal	Liberal	2pts
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek	Safe Liberal	Liberal	12pts
Hamilton Mountain	Safe Liberal	Liberal	18pts
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas	Safe Liberal	Liberal	31pts
Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga	Tossup	Liberal	1pts
Huron—Bruce	Lean Conservative	Conservative	2pts
Kenora—Kiiwetinoong	Lean Conservative	Conservative	4pts
Kingston and the Islands	Safe Liberal	Liberal	41pts
Kitchener Centre	Likely Green	Green	7pts
Kitchener—Conestoga	Safe Liberal	Liberal	14pts
Kitchener South—Hespeler	Safe Liberal	Liberal	11pts
Middlesex—London	Likely Liberal	Liberal	6pts
Lanark—Frontenac	Lean Liberal	Liberal	4pts
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes	Lean Liberal	Liberal	1pts
London—Fanshawe	Tossup	NDP	3pts
London Centre	Safe Liberal	Liberal	35.4pts
London West	Safe Liberal	Liberal	28pts
Markham—Stouffville	Safe Liberal	Liberal	21.2pts
Markham—Thornhill	Safe Liberal	Liberal	34pts
Markham—Unionville	Safe Liberal	Liberal	10pts
Milton East—Halton Hills South	Safe Liberal	Liberal	17pts
Mississauga Centre	Safe Liberal	Liberal	28.7pts
Mississauga East—Cooksville	Safe Liberal	Liberal	21pts
Mississauga—Erin Mills	Safe Liberal	Liberal	29pts
Mississauga—Lakeshore	Safe Liberal	Liberal	20.8pts
Mississauga—Malton	Safe Liberal	Liberal	27pts
Mississauga—Streetsville	Safe Liberal	Liberal	23pts
Nepean	Safe Liberal	Liberal	40pts
Newmarket—Aurora	Likely Liberal	Liberal	9.9pts
York—South Simcoe	Likely Conservative	Conservative	10pts
Niagara South	Likely Liberal	Liberal	6pts
Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake	Likely Liberal	Liberal	8.9pts
Niagara West	Lean Liberal	Liberal	2pts
Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt	Likely Liberal	Liberal	9.1pts
Nipissing—Timiskaming	Safe Liberal	Liberal	16.2pts
Northumberland—Clarke	Likely Liberal	Liberal	8pts
Oakville West	Safe Liberal	Liberal	22pts
Burlington North—Milton West	Safe Liberal	Liberal	24pts
Orléans	Safe Liberal	Liberal	48.5pts
Oshawa	Lean Liberal	Liberal	5pts
Ottawa Centre	Safe Liberal	Liberal	37pts
Ottawa South	Safe Liberal	Liberal	49pts
Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester	Safe Liberal	Liberal	53pts
Ottawa West—Nepean	Safe Liberal	Liberal	44pts
Oxford	Likely Conservative	Conservative	6pts
Taiaiako'n—Parkdale—High Park	Safe Liberal	Liberal	25.7pts
Parry Sound—Muskoka	Tossup	Conservative	1pts
Perth—Wellington	Lean Conservative	Conservative	2pts
Peterborough	Safe Liberal	Liberal	22pts
Pickering—Brooklin	Safe Liberal	Liberal	30.3pts
Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke	Likely Conservative	Conservative	8pts
Richmond Hill South	Likely Liberal	Liberal	8pts
Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong	Likely Conservative	Conservative	5.9pts
Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma	Safe Liberal	Liberal	15pts
Scarborough—Agincourt	Safe Liberal	Liberal	29.3pts
Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park	Safe Liberal	Liberal	48pts
Scarborough North	Safe Liberal	Liberal	48.5pts
Scarborough Southwest	Safe Liberal	Liberal	61pts
Scarborough—Woburn	Safe Liberal	Liberal	42pts
Simcoe—Grey	Tossup	Liberal	1pts
Simcoe North	Likely Liberal	Liberal	8pts
Spadina—Harbourfront	Safe Liberal	Liberal	39pts
St. Catharines	Safe Liberal	Liberal	23pts
Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry	Likely Conservative	Conservative	8pts
Sudbury	Safe Liberal	Liberal	25pts
Thornhill	Safe Conservative	Conservative	18.2pts
Thunder Bay—Rainy River	Safe Liberal	Liberal	18.2pts
Thunder Bay—Superior North	Safe Liberal	Liberal	32.7pts
Toronto Centre	Safe Liberal	Liberal	48.5pts
Toronto—Danforth	Safe Liberal	Liberal	46pts
Toronto—St. Paul's	Safe Liberal	Liberal	41pts
University—Rosedale	Safe Liberal	Liberal	41pts
Vaughan—Woodbridge	Lean Conservative	Conservative	3pts
Waterloo	Safe Liberal	Liberal	37pts
Wellington—Halton Hills North	Tossup	Liberal	1pts
Whitby	Safe Liberal	Liberal	22pts
Willowdale	Safe Liberal	Liberal	24pts
Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore	Safe Liberal	Liberal	13.9pts
Windsor West	Tossup	NDP	1pts
North York	Lean Liberal	Liberal	5.1pts
York South—Weston—Etobicoke	Safe Liberal	Liberal	33pts
Humber River—Black Creek	Safe Liberal	Liberal	39pts
King—Vaughan	Likely Conservative	Conservative	7pts
Kanata	Safe Liberal	Liberal	31.7pts
Oakville East	Safe Liberal	Liberal	21pts
Carleton	Safe Liberal	Liberal	13.1pts

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