Jun 19, 2026 — As of June 19, 2026, the RidingWatch model projects the Liberals at 201 of 343 seats, ahead of the Conservatives at 110, with the Bloc Québécois at 21, the NDP at 9, and the Greens at 2.
Jun 8, 2026 — As of June 8, 2026, the RidingWatch model projects the Liberals at 197 of 343 seats, with the Conservatives at 114.